Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-2
UD Gijón Industrial vs Santoña CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Gijón Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
GIN
1 - 1
CAU
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
COM
1 - 0
GIN
65%
22%
13%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
GIN
1 - 1
CEL
57%
25%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
GRA
0 - 0
GIN
71%
19%
10%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
GIN
2 - 1
COM
54%
26%
20%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santoña CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
BÉJ
1 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAL
69%
20%
11%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
SAN
3 - 1
TUR
64%
22%
14%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
SIE
3 - 2
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
SAN
2 - 1
AVI
54%
26%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |