Gigantes vs Estudiantes Alcorcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gigantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TRI
1 - 0
GIG
21%
20%
60%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GIG
3 - 2
ATL
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PAM
0 - 1
GIG
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GIG
8 - 1
MAM
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AAC
1 - 1
GIG
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes Alcorcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
2 - 2
ESA
41%
22%
38%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ESA
2 - 1
TRI
65%
18%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ESA
0 - 1
VDP
30%
21%
49%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
ESA
15%
16%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |