Gifu vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gifu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
FCT
4 - 0
GIF
77%
17%
6%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
TOK
3 - 0
GIF
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
GIF
3 - 2
KYO
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 1
GIF
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 0
GIF
72%
19%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 0
SAG
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
KYO
1 - 1
TOC
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 1
CON
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
TOC
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
JEF
2 - 2
TOC
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |