Gifu vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gifu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TOK
3 - 0
GIF
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GIF
2 - 2
GAI
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KYO
3 - 1
GIF
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GIF
1 - 1
KAT
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
OIT
2 - 1
GIF
61%
24%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
THE
1 - 3
SHO
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OIT
2 - 3
THE
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
THE
4 - 0
TOC
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EHI
1 - 2
THE
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
THE
2 - 1
CON
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |