Gifu vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gifu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
GIF
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GIF
1 - 1
TOK
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
GIF
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
GIF
1 - 1
KAM
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 0
GIF
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
HON
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
RKD
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
TOC
88%
10%
3%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
HON
1 - 3
HON
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
HON
1 - 1
VER
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |