Gifu vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gifu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
YOK
2 - 0
GIF
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
TOC
2 - 0
GIF
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
GIF
1 - 0
MIT
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SAG
3 - 0
GIF
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GIF
0 - 2
KAR
24%
27%
50%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 2
KAR
11%
23%
66%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
VEN
1 - 0
FAG
78%
15%
6%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 1
TOK
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
KAT
4 - 0
FAG
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
SAG
0 - 0
FAG
73%
18%
8%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |