MTV Gifhorn vs BW Papenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
17º
15º
24
6º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Gifhorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 0
GIF
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GIF
0 - 6
RAE
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
GIF
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
GIF
0 - 2
TSV
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SVE
4 - 0
GIF
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GER
2 - 0
BWP
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AHO
3 - 2
BWP
68%
17%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 3
BWP
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BWP
1 - 1
RAE
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
6 - 1
BWP
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |