Gievenbeck vs TuS Bovinghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
58%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
16º
13º
56
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gievenbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GUT
3 - 1
GIE
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GIE
4 - 1
SFB
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
3 - 0
GIE
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GIE
0 - 0
SCH
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 0
GIE
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
TuS Bovinghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TUS
1 - 4
TVC
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUT
4 - 1
TUS
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TUS
3 - 1
DSC
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SFB
2 - 4
TUS
23%
20%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
TUS
3 - 0
SPR
75%
15%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |