Gievenbeck vs Paderborn 07 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
75.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
16º
13º
64
3º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gievenbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ENN
2 - 0
GIE
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GIE
2 - 2
SPO
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ERH
1 - 0
GIE
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GIE
0 - 5
WER
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GIE
2 - 4
TUS
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 0
GUT
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SFB
0 - 0
PAD
14%
17%
69%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRE
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 2
PAD
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASC
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |