Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 0-3
Giarre vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
55.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giarre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
GIA
2 - 0
ASC
12%
23%
65%
|
24 | 75 | 51 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
ASC
1 - 0
GIA
86%
11%
3%
|
24 | 75 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
GEN
2 - 0
ASC
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
ATL
1 - 0
GEN
62%
24%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
GEN
0 - 0
INT
16%
26%
58%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
VER
1 - 1
GEN
63%
24%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
GEN
2 - 2
LAZ
45%
30%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |