Giarre vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giarre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 1
GIA
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
POR
3 - 2
GIA
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 2
GIA
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FIO
3 - 0
GIA
90%
8%
2%
|
26 | 85 | 59 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
GIA
0 - 2
ANC
12%
21%
67%
|
26 | 70 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
GEL
0 - 1
SMC
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 0
USC
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 0
GEL
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
LUC
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 0
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |