Giarre vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
55.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giarre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 2
SMC
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
GIA
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GIA
1 - 1
REN
27%
22%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
GIA
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GIA
1 - 3
CIT
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 3
USC
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
USC
1 - 0
TRA
7%
18%
75%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
USC
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USC
2 - 2
ACI
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |