Giarre vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
67.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giarre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
GEN
2 - 0
GIA
93%
5%
1%
|
26 | 81 | 55 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
GEN
3 - 0
GIA
83%
14%
4%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
GIA
0 - 0
GEN
17%
28%
55%
|
26 | 73 | 47 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
GIA
2 - 0
ASC
12%
23%
65%
|
24 | 75 | 51 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
ASC
1 - 0
GIA
86%
11%
3%
|
24 | 75 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
ANC
0 - 2
ATL
30%
31%
40%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
UDI
2 - 0
ANC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
ANC
5 - 3
PES
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
LAZ
5 - 0
ANC
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
ANC
1 - 3
ACM
12%
23%
66%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | -1 |