Giana Erminio vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ABN
2 - 0
GER
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GER
1 - 1
VIR
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
RAV
1 - 1
GER
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GER
1 - 0
FAN
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RIM
0 - 0
GER
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 0
REN
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TER
0 - 2
TRI
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 0
FCS
40%
29%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 1
ASS
40%
30%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
VIR
3 - 4
TRI
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |