Giana Erminio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
GER
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 2
GER
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GER
0 - 0
ACP
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 1
GER
30%
29%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GER
0 - 1
PON
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
SIE
2 - 1
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 1
OLB
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
SIE
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 2
ASL
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
SIE
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |