Giana Erminio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
GER
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GER
1 - 3
PON
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
USA
4 - 0
GER
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
GER
1 - 1
CAR
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GOZ
1 - 1
GER
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
USA
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
ABN
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
GOZ
1 - 2
NOV
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |