Giana Erminio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ACP
3 - 2
GER
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GER
2 - 4
PIS
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 1
GER
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
GER
3 - 0
OLB
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
USA
2 - 2
GER
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ASL
2 - 2
ARZ
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
USA
0 - 0
ASL
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ACP
0 - 1
ASL
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
VIT
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |