Giana Erminio vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
2 - 0
GER
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GER
1 - 1
BAG
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 4
GER
25%
26%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GER
3 - 0
ACP
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
RAV
3 - 3
GER
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAS
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 0
ADR
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VCB
0 - 4
ALC
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 2
FOL
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACL
3 - 1
ALC
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |