Ghivizzano Borgo vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
7º
32
3º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MPO
1 - 1
GHI
32%
25%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
GRO
4 - 4
GHI
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 3
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -3 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 0
FLA
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ATT
3 - 0
GHI
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SSD
1 - 2
SER
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SSD
3 - 1
FLA
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 2
SSD
48%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 0
ORV
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 1
SSD
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |