Ghivizzano Borgo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 2
GHI
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GHI
2 - 1
VFC
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LAV
0 - 2
GHI
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SER
3 - 0
GHI
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GHI
2 - 2
GAV
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ASL
1 - 2
USR
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 1
ASL
14%
26%
60%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASL
2 - 2
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ASL
2 - 3
GRA
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
USR
0 - 1
ASL
23%
27%
50%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |