Ghazl El Mehalla vs Ismaily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
17º
17º
40
11º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghazl El Mehalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
MOK
1 - 1
GHA
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALI
22%
28%
51%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PHA
1 - 1
GHA
41%
30%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
1 - 0
MIS
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
GOU
0 - 0
GHA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ismaily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ISM
0 - 1
ALA
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ISM
0 - 1
GEI
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ENP
2 - 0
ISM
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
ISM
1 - 1
SHD
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
ISM
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |