Ghazl El Mehalla vs Modern SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
15º
15º
7
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 35 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 34 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 30 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 29 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 26 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 26 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 25 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 23 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 22 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 21 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 21 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 21 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 17 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 16 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 14 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
|
18º
|
7 | 14 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 12 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghazl El Mehalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PHA
3 - 2
GHA
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GHA
0 - 1
CCF
31%
28%
42%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
GHA
0 - 1
HEL
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ASY
3 - 0
GHA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
GHA
1 - 0
ASC
80%
15%
5%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Modern SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CCF
1 - 3
ALA
37%
31%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
HEL
1 - 0
CCF
33%
29%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
CCF
1 - 0
ZAM
34%
29%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SMO
1 - 0
CCF
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CCF
5 - 2
ALS
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |