Düren vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WES
0 - 2
DUR
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
DUR
3 - 1
SCF
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BWF
0 - 4
DUR
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
DUR
2 - 2
H05
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EIL
2 - 2
DUR
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WEG
2 - 0
SCF
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WEG
3 - 0
BWF
83%
12%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
H05
0 - 1
WEG
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
WEG
3 - 1
EIL
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
SVB
0 - 1
WEG
18%
19%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |