Düren vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 1
KLE
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
FCB
5 - 0
DUR
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BOR
1 - 0
DUR
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DUR
3 - 3
VFB
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
BSC
3 - 1
DUR
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
WEG
0 - 3
FCB
16%
24%
60%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
WEG
0 - 2
BOR
12%
23%
65%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VFB
1 - 0
WEG
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
WEG
1 - 5
BSC
22%
26%
52%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
4 - 3
WEG
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |