Düren vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MSV
4 - 2
DUR
45%
23%
31%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
DUR
1 - 0
AAA
41%
24%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
USO
2 - 2
DUR
73%
17%
11%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
DUR
0 - 0
WUP
50%
24%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VEL
3 - 3
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SPE
3 - 1
DUS
42%
25%
34%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SWE
1 - 1
SPE
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 3
WEG
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 2
FCB
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SPE
1 - 3
BOR
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -2 |