Düren vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
56%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
WUP
2 - 0
DUR
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 3
FCJ
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
KFC
1 - 0
DUR
82%
13%
6%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2005 |
WUP
2 - 2
DUR
39%
25%
35%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 1
AAA
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 3
FCB
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
VEL
4 - 1
BOR
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
YUK
2 - 3
VEL
14%
20%
65%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
VEL
4 - 0
SWE
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
VEL
1 - 2
ADL
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |