Düren vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+196%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SPF
1 - 1
DUR
53%
21%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 2
SIE
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
BFR
1 - 0
DUR
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
DUR
3 - 2
SPF
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BGP
0 - 1
DUR
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
BER
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MER
0 - 2
SVD
41%
21%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SPF
1 - 1
MER
33%
22%
46%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
MER
5 - 3
ALT
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
PES
1 - 3
MER
25%
20%
55%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |