Düren vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BGP
0 - 1
DUR
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 3
NIE
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SVB
3 - 2
DUR
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 1
SCB
28%
22%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GET
2 - 1
DUR
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SPF
5 - 1
SVR
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
FVE
1 - 2
SPF
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SPF
3 - 0
SVS
14%
17%
68%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SVD
0 - 7
SPF
53%
21%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SPF
1 - 2
FVW
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |