Düren vs SF Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HBE
6 - 2
DUR
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 1
BGP
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 1
DUR
9%
16%
76%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 1
SCB
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
NIE
1 - 1
DUR
19%
20%
60%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SF Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SFD
1 - 3
SVR
8%
15%
76%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SFD
2 - 5
HEW
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
HBE
3 - 1
SFD
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SFD
2 - 3
BGP
8%
15%
76%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
SFD
48%
22%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |