Düren vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
DUR
1 - 1
KLE
36%
24%
39%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
DUR
4 - 2
MSV
40%
23%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 0
USO
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
FCB
2 - 0
DUR
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
BAY
1 - 1
DUR
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SWE
5 - 1
FCJ
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MSV
0 - 3
SWE
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
SWE
0 - 1
USO
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SWE
3 - 0
FCB
44%
27%
30%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
BFR
5 - 2
SWE
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -3 |