Düren vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
48.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 6
DUR
39%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 1
BWF
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
H05
0 - 2
DUR
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 0
VFL
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SVD
5 - 3
DUR
61%
19%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 2
BER
33%
23%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
MER
1 - 3
HUR
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
HUR
0 - 0
SPF
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SIE
0 - 2
HUR
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 1
BFR
57%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |