Düren vs Hertha Walheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SVR
1 - 3
DUR
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 1
SFD
88%
9%
3%
|
25 | 6 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HBE
6 - 2
DUR
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 1
BGP
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 1
DUR
9%
16%
76%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Hertha Walheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SVR
3 - 2
HEW
64%
19%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
HEW
0 - 3
IHN
28%
22%
50%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HEW
1 - 3
VFL
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SFD
2 - 5
HEW
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HBE
5 - 0
HEW
76%
14%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |