Düren vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
59.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VFL
3 - 1
DUR
46%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DUR
3 - 0
SVD
28%
20%
52%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BER
5 - 3
DUR
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DUR
3 - 0
MER
37%
21%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SPF
1 - 1
DUR
53%
21%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 1
H05
37%
21%
41%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
H05
2 - 0
BER
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
H05
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
H05
3 - 2
SPF
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
H05
0 - 2
BFR
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |