Düren vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DUR
0 - 0
HEW
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SVR
1 - 3
DUR
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 1
SFD
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HBE
6 - 2
DUR
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 1
BGP
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GER
2 - 0
SVR
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SFD
1 - 2
GER
9%
16%
76%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GER
2 - 2
HBE
15%
19%
67%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BGP
3 - 1
GER
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GER
5 - 1
ALE
67%
18%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |