Düren vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
H05
0 - 2
DUR
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 0
VFL
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SVD
5 - 3
DUR
61%
19%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 1
BER
18%
19%
64%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MER
2 - 0
DUR
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
BWF
3 - 3
BER
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MER
3 - 2
BWF
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
VIA
2 - 2
BWF
35%
24%
42%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BWF
3 - 1
SPF
60%
19%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 1
BWF
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |