Düren vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
USO
0 - 4
DUR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 1
SWE
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BSC
3 - 0
DUR
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 1
KFC
26%
25%
49%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DUR
0 - 1
FCB
35%
26%
40%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BER
1 - 0
KFC
38%
26%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
STR
1 - 1
BER
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BER
0 - 1
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
0 - 0
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
BER
1 - 2
SPE
55%
23%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |