Düren vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
66.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BOR
5 - 0
DUR
77%
14%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
DUR
0 - 0
VEL
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
DUR
7 - 0
YUK
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
DUS
2 - 1
DUR
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 0
DUR
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BAY
4 - 1
KLE
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ADL
2 - 2
BAY
35%
24%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
1 - 0
USO
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
BOR
2 - 0
BAY
23%
23%
53%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
FCJ
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |