Düren vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BWF
3 - 6
DUR
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
2 - 2
H05
21%
19%
60%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VFL
3 - 1
DUR
46%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DUR
3 - 0
SVD
28%
20%
52%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BER
5 - 3
DUR
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 4
BER
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 2
SPF
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SIE
3 - 2
ALT
52%
20%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 2
BFR
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SVB
1 - 2
ALT
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |