Düren vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BER
1 - 0
DUR
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 0
USO
38%
24%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SWE
3 - 1
DUR
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
DUR
0 - 1
BSC
28%
24%
47%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
DUS
2 - 1
DUR
63%
21%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
AAA
2 - 0
KFC
43%
27%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 0
FCB
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
STR
3 - 0
AAA
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
AAA
0 - 4
STU
10%
20%
70%
|
33 | 85 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
DIE
1 - 3
AAA
72%
18%
11%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +2 |