Rumilly Vallières vs Le Puy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
48.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
9º
6º
25
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
8º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 52 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 49 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 44 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 41 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 39 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 36 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 36 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rumilly Vallières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
GRA
3 - 0
RVA
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
BER
1 - 1
RVA
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RVA
1 - 1
CAN
31%
28%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
RVA
1 - 2
IST
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
MOA
2 - 4
RVA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
LPV
1 - 3
AND
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 1
LPV
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
DIV
1 - 0
LPV
8%
17%
74%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
IST
1 - 4
LPV
15%
25%
60%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LPV
4 - 0
MPL
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +3 |