Rumilly Vallières vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
6º
5º
8
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
8 | 53 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 50 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 49 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 49 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
12 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 48 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 39 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 39 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 37 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 30 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 29 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rumilly Vallières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RVA
4 - 0
AND
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
RVA
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RVA
3 - 1
SPO
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 0
RVA
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RVA
4 - 4
PON
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 0
ANG
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AND
1 - 2
GRA
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 2
HYE
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 2
JUR
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AND
1 - 3
GRA
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |