Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-1
Getafe Deportivo vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Getafe Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
MUR
1 - 0
GDE
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
GDE
1 - 0
RJA
56%
27%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
OSA
3 - 2
GDE
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
GDE
0 - 1
CAS
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
PUE
2 - 0
GDE
54%
26%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TAL
2 - 2
CAR
50%
29%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
CAR
5 - 1
ALC
68%
18%
15%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
CIE
0 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
CAR
1 - 1
CDB
75%
18%
7%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
TCF
2 - 3
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |