Gersthofen vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gersthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GER
3 - 2
EIN
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GER
0 - 4
RAI
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ISM
4 - 2
GER
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GER
0 - 1
ELT
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 0
GER
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ERB
1 - 4
FRO
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ERB
0 - 3
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ERB
2 - 0
TSV
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 0
ERB
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ERB
1 - 1
DJK
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |