Gersthofen vs Eltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gersthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 0
GER
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 1
GER
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
GER
1 - 4
UNT
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ROS
3 - 1
GER
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
WUR
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 1
RAI
58%
21%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ELT
3 - 1
EIN
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
ELT
3 - 4
SEL
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ERB
2 - 5
ELT
37%
24%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ELT
1 - 0
BAY
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |