Gersthofen vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gersthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DJK
4 - 2
GER
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GER
0 - 2
ERB
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GER
3 - 2
EIN
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GER
0 - 4
RAI
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ISM
4 - 2
GER
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 0
RAI
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ISM
1 - 1
BUC
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 1
ELT
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 0
BUC
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 0
ERB
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |