SD Gernika vs Sestao River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DEU
1 - 1
GER
23%
24%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
GER
0 - 0
BEA
66%
20%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 0
GER
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
GER
3 - 1
AUR
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
IKE
0 - 5
GER
9%
16%
76%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SES
5 - 2
DEU
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BEA
1 - 1
SES
22%
23%
54%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SES
0 - 1
BFC
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
SES
10%
19%
71%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SES
7 - 0
IKE
83%
11%
5%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |