SD Gernika vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 2
GER
30%
27%
43%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GER
5 - 0
PAS
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SFC
0 - 1
GER
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GER
3 - 1
LON
62%
23%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
GER
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SDE
2 - 0
BAS
18%
22%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CDU
1 - 1
SDE
57%
24%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SDE
1 - 2
SNT
38%
28%
34%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
OIA
0 - 2
SDE
60%
23%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SDE
1 - 2
ZAL
20%
25%
55%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |