SD Gernika vs San Ignacio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 1
GER
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GER
2 - 0
LON
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAS
2 - 0
GER
10%
19%
71%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -3 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GER
1 - 0
TOL
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDV
2 - 0
GER
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Ignacio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
4 - 1
LON
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 2
SAN
31%
24%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
CDU
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SNT
0 - 0
SAN
31%
25%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
SES
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |