SD Gernika vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
48.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 1
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
UBC
27%
29%
44%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AMU
2 - 0
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
GER
1 - 0
AUR
32%
30%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LOG
3 - 0
GER
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ZAR
1 - 2
NOJ
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
TAL
3 - 1
ZAR
34%
30%
36%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ZAR
0 - 2
GIM
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
RAC
0 - 0
ZAR
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ALA
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |