SD Gernika vs Real Valladolid Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GER
1 - 0
ZAM
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ALA
1 - 3
GER
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
GER
0 - 2
AUR
36%
29%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GIM
3 - 0
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
GER
1 - 1
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 3
ALA
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
AUR
6 - 0
VAL
54%
26%
20%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 0
GIM
34%
29%
37%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ZAR
1 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
VAL
2 - 1
IZA
64%
22%
14%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |